Attūrēšana ar liegšanu

 

[..] In a limited-war setting, punishment quickly morphs into compellence: not just dissuading an enemy, but dislodging him. This shifts the psychological burden of conflict—fear of retaliation—away from Russia and places it on the shoulders of NATO—fear of escalation. It puts the latter in the position of perpetually under-responding to ambiguous provocations (and thereby losing control of strategically vital spaces by default) or over-responding (and risking war). [..]

avots: nationalinterest.org

vara bungas: Augstākminētais citāts man atgādina situāciju, kad kārtīgam un bruņotam pilsonim vārtrūmē laupīšanas nolūkā uzbrūk gopņiks, bet pilsonis pat nevelk ārā savu  šaujamo, jo saprot, ka nav gatavs to pielietot (bailes no tiesas, publicitātes, atriebības utt) un gandrīz bez ierunām atdod laupītājam vērtības.   Risinājums: pilsonim pirms ieiešanas vartrūmē savlaicīgi sagatavot ieroci, pirmajam uzrunāt gopņiku ar tekstu: “biedri Gopņik, brīdinu, ka esmu bruņots, turklāt naudas maku esmu aizmirsis mājās” .

[..] the time has come for the United States and its allies to add a new component to the logic of U.S. extended deterrence in the Baltic region: denial. Unlike punishment, which threatens to hurt someone after he attacks you or your allies, deterrence by denial seeks to make it physically harder for someone to attack you. Denial operates on the basis of cultivating fear in the mind of an aggressor that he will have to bear a degree of pain that exceeds whatever gains he hoped to achieve by taking the offensive.[..]

avots: nationalinterest.org

vara bungas: Turpinot šo salīdzinājumu ar LV situāciju jāsecina, ka LV kā “kārtīgam pilsonim” šajā shēmā trūkst “ieroča”. Raksta autors nu mudina  Baltijas valstis iegūt šādas spējas:

1.   Antitank weapons

2.   Anti-infantry rockets

3.   Pre-targeted artillery

4.   Air defense

5.   Flooding and channeling.

VB: Burtiski “pretinieka sauszemes pārvietošanās iespēju sašaurināšana (kanalizēšana)”. Panākama ar inženiertehniskajiem paņēmieniem t.sk. PK mīnām (kuras mūsu idioti ir aizlieguši).

6.   Land mines

7. mindsets for long-term resistance well in advance of a conflict. [..] A national mindset of resistance is an integral component to deterrence by denial for small states. This requires not just the physical resources but the political commitment to cultivating a “nation-in-arms” mentality among the citizenry. [..]

8. deeper commitment to local defense [..]

9. spending on certain kinds of weapons instead of others and concentrating more national defense resources on the most likely trouble zones[..]

[..] Organizing North Central European states for stronger self-defense would raise the visible costs of revision without necessarily adding commensurate defense burdens for the United States.[..]

avots: nationalinterest.org

vara bungas: Nu par to jau mēs trīs gadus te publiski vārāmies, bet nepubliski, PD esot, jau  kopš 2004.gada vismaz. Tomēr no deviņiem acīmredzamiem punktiem kaut kas tiek darīts tikai par 1. un 4. Savukārt LV neeksistē pat iestrādes   par 3., 5.,6. un 7.punktu . Līdz ar to gopņiki var  droši izpildīties….