Dienas grauds

vara bungas: Laba lasāmviela ar vērtīgām rekomendācijām to-whom-it-may-concern

VBprāt šis ir ticamākā secnārija izklāsts , bīstamākie arī aprakstīti skat.avotu. Pie bīstamākajiem scenārijiem jāsāk attiecināt nepietiekamu agility likvidējot kritiskus iztrūkumus pašu spējās un nepietiekamas ambīcijas spēju attīstībai nākotnē. Pretinieks negaidīs kamēr mēs nesteidzīgi īstenosim “stiprināšanu”(tm) saskaņā ar iepriekš saskaņotiem 12 gadu plāniem.

[..] In this scenario, Russian paramilitary troops, special operations soldiers, and intelligence officers without markings would enter eastern Estonia to carve out a separatist enclave in support of “oppressed” Russian minorities seeking reincorporation into the Russian Federation.¹⁴⁵

Using this cover story, Russian operatives backed with armed force would occupy the area around Narva and Lake Peipus. “Separatists” would then set up a mock government and vote for reincorporation into the Russian Federation, as seen in the Donbas and Crimea. The operational objectives would be to test NATO’s resolve, to intimidate and destabilize a neighbor and former imperial possession, and to set conditions for possible future aggression against the Baltic states. [..]

avots

Tiny Latvia fielded a seventy-thousand-man army during its War of Independence in 1919. The Estonian army at the same time fielded eighty thousand. Today, Israel, with a mobilizable population of some 7 million, fields an active army of 170,000 with another 465,000 upon full mobilization.

These examples show that the Baltic states can do much more to increase their own defense potential. Universal conscription of males aged 18–24 for a period of two years, with fair compensation and incentives for those who choose to become career soldiers and officers, would yield an order of magnitude improvement in size and quality and provide the basis for expanding Baltic ground forces at lower cost than expensive professional soldiers.