pierprasījums un piedāvājums


[..]First of all, with demand significantly exceeding supply, the poorest will suffer. Prices of food, prices of energy and water prices will go up. Water in particularly is currently a free good. With the urbanisation we are seeing, it is unimaginable that water will be free to the poor farmers of the world. The cities will have more purchasing power and more political power, which will add to the fact that we will move more populations to migrate to the cities due to water shortage and so on. So are there any grounds for optimism? I think the grounds for optimism are that we recognise we have a problem, we have enormous ingenuity, the ability to generate solutions to that.[..]

[..] So, water is really enormously important. I am going to get onto the climate change interactions with it a little bit later but water is the one area that I feel is seriously threatening. It is so important because a shortage of water obviously interacts with a shortage of food, there are real potentials for driving significant international problems – what do you do if you have no water and you have no food? You migrate. So one can have a reasonable expectation that international migration will occur as these shortages come in.[..]

Sir John Rex Beddington, the UK Government Chief Scientific Adviser from 2008 until 2013

vara bungas: LV ir saldūdens, mums ir labi apstākļi lauksaimniecībai, mums ir zems apdzīvotības blīvums.  Ja profesora pareģojumi piepildīsies, ap 2030.gadu aktuāla kļūs legālo un nelegālo migrantu problēma no Āzijas un Āfrikas valstīm. Jo īpaši, ja vecās Eiropas valstis kļūs imigrantiem mazāk draudzīgas.

P.S. jā,  ogļūdeņražu cenas kritumu profesors nav uzminējis, iespējams tādēļ, ka 2009.gadā (kad šī runa tapa) vēl nebija sācies  slānekļa gāzes un “smagās” naftas bums. Turklāt viss vēl nav beidzies, kuru interesē naftas cenas veidošanās  ABC, var palasīt šeit. Ne tik daudz, lai noticētu autoram bet, lai saprastu, ka tas ķēķis nebūt nav tik vienkārši “nolasāms”.

Tikmēr…

 

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