[..] Negotiations would have to acknowledge that Russia is a great power with leverage, but they would not need to involve the formal acceptance of some special Russian sphere of interest in its so-called near abroad. The chief goals would be, first, to exchange international recognition of Russia’s annexation of Crimea for an end to all the frozen conflicts in which Russia is an accomplice and, second, to disincentivize such behavior in the future. Russia should have to pay monetary compensation for Crimea. There could be some federal solutions, referendums, even land swaps and population transfers (which in many cases have already taken place). Sanctions on Russia would remain in place until a settlement was mutually agreed on, and new sanctions could be levied if Russia were to reject negotiations or were deemed to be conducting them in bad faith.
Recognition of the new status of Crimea would occur in stages, over and extended period.[..]
Stephen Kotkin, Professor of History and International Affairs at Princeton University
vara bungas: garš un brīžiem garlaicīgs raksts, kuru vērts lasīt, lai izzinātu, viena no lielākajiem PSRS speciālistiem Rietumos, viedokli par iespējamo izeju no krīzes attiecībās ar RU. Tik augsta līmeņa ekspertu viedoklis, ne uzreiz, bet ar laiku var pārtapt par prāktisku US ārpoitiku, kas skars arī LV intereses (ja pieņemam, ka tādas mums parādīsies). Līdzīgi kā ar Boisto plānu, tikai vēl globālāk un vēl lēnāk. Īsumā profesora tēze (manā izpratnē) ir šāda:
[..] Ar RU jārunā kā ar ietekmīgu lielvaru, neoficiāli atzīstot tās īpašās tiesības uz ietekmes zonu “tuvajā pierobežā”. Krimas aneksija tiks pakāpeniski starptautiski atzīta apmaiņā pret visu iesaldēto konfliktu likvidēšanu, kuros RU ir iesaistīta. RU jāmaksā kompensāciju UA par Krimu, iespējama plaša zemju apmaiņa (nodrošinot pilsoņu pārcelšanos), lai nodrošinātu sauszemes koridoru uz pussalu. Sankcijas pret RU tiks atceltas pakāpeniski, soli pa solim atkarībā no progresa, kas aizņems vairākus gadus [..]
PS Man arī gribētos, lai UA rīt no rīta uzvar separus, naftas cena nostabilizējas ap 10USD/muca, kremli sasper zibens u.t.t., bet būsim reālisti, LV interesēs ir , lai nesāktos tiešām Liels Karš, kuram ne mēs, ne mūsu sabiedrotie neesam gatavi, ne morāli, ne materiāli, ne fiziski. Alternatīva karam ved uz sarunām, sarunas paredz kompromisu, kompromiss ir abpusēja piekāpšanās. Ja šis trends kļūs par vadošo, LV būtu jāpiepūlas, lai kārtējo reizi nekļūtu par “upurējamo bandinieku”, kas ir atkarīgs no mums pašiem, ar to domājot pašvaldību un Saeimas vēlēšanu rezultātus, kā arī tādas pašaizsardzības spējas, kas ļautu rādīt fakus visām debesu pusēm.
PPS Līdzsvaram pilnīgi pretējs viedoklis bijušā CIP direktora izpildījumā:
[..]Panetta: Soft power hasn’t worked so far, and I think when you are dealing with somebody like Putin, the only thing he understands is hard power.[..]
vara bungas 
Pilnīgi piekrītot VB postskriptā teiktajam, atkal brīdinājums augstākajā līmenī, kas izskatās pēc GB sab.domas gatavošanas dalībai Baltijas misijā:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/vladimir-putin/11421751/Putin-will-target-the-Baltic-next-Defence-Secretary-warns.html
Naftas cena dara savu. Ja tai pievienotu efektīvākas sankcijas un apbruņotu Ukrainu, RU nāktos vēl daudz ko atlikt…varbūt ne tikai atlikt.
“Как стало известно “Ъ”, утверждение новой Государственной программы вооружения (ГПВ) переносится с 2015 года на 2018-й. До сих пор расходы на закупку техники для армии, наряду с социальными расходами, оставались неприкосновенной статьей бюджета. На разных уровнях — в Кремле, в правительстве, в Минобороны — их обещали не сокращать. Но теперь источники “Ъ” утверждают, что из-за нестабильной экономической ситуации с принятием самой дорогостоящей — сами военные оценивали ее изначально в 56 трлн руб., а позже сократили до 30 трлн — госпрограммы решили повременить. Усилия будут сконцентрированы на выполнении ГПВ 2011-2020 годов.
Подробнее: http://www.kommersant.ru/doc/2670562“
Man šķiet šāds menedžerisks gājiens ir normas robežās, jo līdz esošās GPV programmas (2011-2020) pabeigšanai atlikuši 5 gadi. Jaunai programmai tad būtu jābūt no 2020.- 20XX. Esošā programma ir pietiekami ambicioza un pildās … ? RU saka, ka labi. Katrā gadījumā vērts atzīmēt, ka iepriekšējās GPV-2009 un GPV-2015. izgāzās un tika ar steigu aizvietotas viena ar otru un beigās ar GPV-2020. Tātad GPV aizvietošana notika apmēram ik pēc trim gadiem pēc kārtējās programmas uzsākšanas. Tagadējo programmu uzsāka 2011.gadā, tātad, ja nolēma atlikt jaunās programmas apstiprināšanu, ļoti iespējams ka GPV-2020 pildās tiešām labi un nav nepieciešams to koriģēt ar jaunu. Līdz ar to šoreiz te nebūtu tieša sakara ar naftas cenām, jo RU MRK ir arī citas problēmas, kas nav atrisināmas nomētājot nozari ar naudu.
kā, piemēram, komplektējošo detaļu trūkums http://www.gazeta.ru/politics/2015/02/19_a_6418029.shtml
Юрий Бутусов
6 hrs · Edited ·
Ввод миротворческих войск в Югославию снизил эскалацию, но не привел к окончанию войны. Гарнизоны миротворцев могут оборонять себя, могут ловить бандитов, могут сопровождать конвои. Но они не будут держать сотни километров фронта, и они не будут вести за нас войну. Россия будет продолжать поддержку войны против нас, она будет сохранять очаг напряженности. Потому что это единственное средство для Путина заставить нас признать оккупацию нашей земли в Крыму и на Донбассе, и снять с себя санкции.
Не знаю, будут ли на Донбассе миротворцы, если натовские – то они нам будут очень кстати – но знаю точно – даже если они будут, то через полтора месяца на полях Донбасса появится зелень, и снова начнется война малых групп, рейдов бронетехники, и артиллерийских налетов.
Остановить врага может только сила.
Главный вывод Дебальцево и Донецкого аэропорта – нам необходимо создание профессиональной армии.
Нам необходимо компетентное военное руководство, которое НЕСЕТ ОТВЕТСТВЕННОСТЬ за принятые решения.
Я горжусь солдатами и офицерами, которые сражаются как львы в условиях огромных лишений и тягот, которые целый месяц отражали все атаки и штурмы. Но тот, кто им отдавал такие приказы должен отвечать перед судом и следственной комиссией.
Реорганизацию и реформу армии надо начинать немедленно.
Хочу напомнить историю войны в Югославии. Хорватия смогла ликвидировать сербские анклавы только тогда, когда была полностью реорганизована система военного управления, а в армии было сформировано ядро – четыре гвардейских профессиональных бригады. Да, это было не сразу, но это сделали. Эти бригады стали клинком, который в ходе операции “Молния” за несколько дней рассек сербскую оборону в клочья, и позволил без больших потерь разгромить врага. с которым ранее три года шла тяжелая война.
Это было на всех войнах. Необходим ударный компонент, костяк армии, образцовая дееспособная структура, которая станет основой новых вооруженных сил.
Реформы нужны везде – и в армии, самой консервативной структуре, реформы нужны острее, чем где-либо.
Наш путь проходили многие народы. Чтобы создать свою государственность надо ковать свой меч. И только тогда, когда враг начнет опасаться нашей силы, мирные инициативы принесут результат.
Семен Семенченко added a new photo.
2 hrs · Edited ·
Часть добровольческих батальонов, волонтерских организаций создали координационный штаб добровольческого движения, подписали Меморандум который открыт для подписания всеми патриотическими силами.
Это, а также необходимость отвлечь внимание от Дебальцево, вызвало дикую истерику в Интернет. Анализируя структуру истерики я прихожу к выводу что та самая “узкая группа” людей системно дезинформирующая Президента (о ней в предыдущем посте), и те кто методично, скрываясь под разными масками, проводят компанию по дискредитации Добровольческого Движения – одни и те же люди. Это не ФСБ. Это хуже. Но речь сейчас не об этом.
Я хочу разъяснить для чего создан подобный штаб и для чего он ТОЧНО НЕ СОЗДАН.
———————————————————————————————————————–
Штаб НЕ СОЗДАН:
1) Как параллельный Генштабу. (Это пропагандистское клише, которое используется для неконструктивной критики нашей инициативы )
2) Для давления на Президента. (Это не так. наоборот, в помощь)
3) Для совершения каких то насильственных действий внутри страны против существующей власти или строя (типа военных переворотов или “третьих Майданов”)
4) Для проведения отдельной войны (бред)
5) Для дискредитации существующего Генштаба (он сам с этой функцией успешно справляется).
6) Для лоббирования интересов каких либо олигархов (они с этим успешно справляются и без нас)
Штаб создан для:
1) Обмена развединформацией (что на более примитивном уровне происходило и до этого)
2) Координации действий в решении социальных вопросов
3) Координации действий в решении вопросов материально – технического обеспечения добровольческих батальонов
4) Повышения профессионализма солдат и офицеров добровольческих батальонов
5) Борьба с преступлениями совершаемыми добровольцами или под видом добровольцев (создан суд чести)
6) Предотвращение внутренних конфликтов и попыток развала добровольческого движения.
7) Создание альтернативного канала информации для высших руководителей государства.
8) Поддержка процесса мобилизации добровольцев
9) Помощь в вопросах создания территориальной обороны Украины
———————————————————————————————————————–
Означает ли это что мы не будем подчиняться государственным структурам. Нет. Не означает. Пример – батальон Донбасс. Не разу не был НЕ выполнен приказ. Массовый героизм. Он стал одним из символов борьбы за независимость Украины (отсюда и дикая злоба и особое отношение к батальону у врагов внутри и вне страны).
Для тех патриотических организаций, которые готовы принять участие в работе штаба – справки по телефонам (067)5617173. (098) 813-42-44.
Обращаюсь к руководителям СБУ и администрации Президента. Готовы принять и разместить в штабе ваших представителей на правах наблюдателей. Если вам это нужно.
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ОДИН ИЗ организаторов штаба
Комбат добровольческого батальона Донбасс
Народный депутат Украины
Первый заместитель головы комитета ВР по вопросам национальной безопасности и обороны
Семенченко С.И.
te par iepriekš ievietoto tekstu refleksijai kaut kas no klasikas (ukrainskije vai aizvietot ar latiškogovorjaščije)
parakstos zem katra Ostrovska vārda (drīkst 3x minēt, kāpēc Ostrovski tikpat kā neredz Latvijas “sabiedriskajos” plašsaziņas līdzekļos):
“Kā Šteinmaijera iniciatīva skan baltiešu, poļu un citu vēstures amnēzijas neskarto Eiropas tautu galvās:
Eiropas Savienība ir pamanījusi Krievijas agresiju un to stingri jo stingri nosoda, piemērojot vieglas ekonomiskās sankcijas un liedzot simtam Putina pakaļskrējēju pavadīt atvaļinājumu Šengenas zonas valstīs. Bet neko vairāk ES nedara, jo maldīgi domā, ka neparedzamā Krievija īstermiņā ir ekonomiski izdevīgāks partneris par teorētiski neatkarīgu un spēcīgu Ukrainu tālākā perspektīvā. Ja ukraiņiem izdosies nosargāt savas valsts neatkarību un vēl izķepuroties no bankrota tikai ar ES miljardu palīdzību, tad Brisele būs bezgala pateicīga Petro Porošenko par ukraiņu nesto upuri. Krima? Karakuģu Mistral pārdošanas līguma autors Francijas eksprezidents Nikolā Sarkozī pirms divām nedēļām atzina: «Krima ir Krievijas sastāvdaļa, mums tas ir jāakceptē de jure un jāvico tālāk.»
Brīvība nav tiesības, tas ir pienākums. Ja slinkums ir dabisks stāvoklis, tad demokrātija un mierīga līdzāspastāvēšana nav cilvēkam iedzimta, iemācāma vai pārmantojama pasaules kārtība. Ja aktīvi necīnīsimies par šīm fundamentālajām vērtībām katru dienu, visu mūžu, tad pazaudēsim visu!
Vai tiešām ir pienākusi tā reize, kad tikai ar ieročiem var cīnīties pret ieročiem?
Varbūt mums visiem vēlreiz vajag atšķirt grāmatu par 20.gadsimta vēsturi un atkārtoti iepazīties II pasaules kara cēloņiem un tā sekām?”
http://www.tvnet.lv/zinas/viedokli/548460-aicinajums_ukrainai_pretoties_krievijai_lidz_galam
Nedomāju tik slikti par Lielā kara iespēju (ja bez kodolieročiem). Ja Krievijas tiks sagrauta līdzīgi Irākai, tad mums no tā būs tikai vieglāk.
Pat paši vaininieki-celmlauži šobrīd neuzskata, ka viņiem izdevies jebko panākt ar OIF un ISAF, tagad mēģina saprast kādēļ kopš 2PK un AK viņus vajā zaudējumi, kamēr nesapratīs nekādā Lielā Karā neiesaistīsies. Par EU viss tā kā būtu skaidrs.
Cara laiku stāsts- Es aiziešu karā, nošaušu pāris turku un braukšu mājās!- Bet ko tu darīsi, kad turki šaus uz tevi?
Jen Psaki palūgts aiziet prom no darba, žēl viena no pro-ukraiņu redzamākajām amatpersonām Vašingtonā
https://twitter.com/statedeptspox?original_referer=http%3A%2F%2Finforesist.org%2Fdzhen-psaki-pokinet-gosdep-ssha%2F&tw_i=568436318021095424&tw_p=tweetembed
Eiropa/USA = Titāniks…
Redz ku viens Kotkin draugs, international law “spečuks”, kas pamāca kā , savukārt, risināt āfrikas un āzijas migrantu problēmu Eiropā:
European Union attempts to “seal” borders will continue to fail and more migrants will lose their lives at sea if fleeing refugees aren’t given the right to settle where they want, François Crépeau said on Thursday from New York.
“I don’t see any other solution for Europe,” he said. “They need to open the borders.”
http://www.thestar.com/news/world/2015/02/12/europe-must-open-borders-to-migrants-un-official-says.html
François Crépeau ir UN cilvēktiesību runasvīrs, kura pienākumos ietilpst mīlēt visus migrantus kopā un atsevišķi pa vienam. Viņa paziņojumiem ir 0 vērtība. Turpretī Kotkins ir autors:
BOOKS IN PROGRESS:
Stalin (Penguin): vol. II: Waiting for Hitler (2016); vol. III: Miscalculation and the Mao Eclipse
(2019)
Lost in Siberia: Labyrinths of the Ob River Valley (manuscript)
Tar Baby: The Soviet Union in Afghanistan (manuscript)
PUBLICATIONS:
1) Books
Stalin, vo1. I: Paradoxes of Power (Penguin, 2014)
Uncivil Society: 1989 and the Implosion of Communist Establishment, with a contribution by Jan
Gross (New York: Modern Library/Random House, 2009)
Polish translation: Rok 1989 (Świat Książki, 2009)
Romanian trans.: Societatea necivilă. Anul 1989: implozia structurilor comuniste
(Curtea Veche, 2010)
Portuguese trans. Sociedade incivil: 1989 e aderrocada do comunismo (Objetiva, 2013)
Armageddon Averted: the Soviet Collapse, 1970-2000 (Oxford and New York: Oxford University,
2001; paperback with new preface, 2003; updated edition 2008)
Polish translation: Armageddon był o krok (Świat Książki, 2009)
Magnetic Mountain: Stalinism as a Civilization (Berkeley: University of California, 1995)
Steeltown, USSR: Soviet Society in the Gorbachev Era (Berkeley: University of California, 1991;
paperback with afterword, 1993)
2) Textbook
Worlds Together, Worlds Apart: A History of the World, coauthored (New York: W.W. Norton,
2002; 2nd ed. 2008, 3rd ed. 2011, 4th edition 2013)
3) Edited Volumes
Legacies of Communism, edited with Mark Beissinger (NY: Cambridge University, 2014)
“Northeast Asia seminar” Series:
Beijing’s Power and China’s Borders: Twenty Neighbors in Asia, ed. Bruce Elleman, Stephen
Kotkin, Clive Schofield (Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, 2012)
Manchurian Railways and the Opening of China: An International History, ed. Bruce Elleman
and Stephen Kotkin (Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, 2009)
Korea at the Center: Dynamics of Regionalism in Northeast Asia, ed. Charles Armstrong, Gil
Rozman, Sam Kim, Stephen Kotkin (Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, 2005)
Mongolia in the Twentieth Century: Landlocked Cosmopolitan, ed. Stephen Kotkin and Bruce
Elleman (Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, 1999)
Rediscovering Russia in Asia: Siberia and the Russian Far East, ed. Stephen Kotkin and David
Wolff (Armonk, NY: M. E. Sharpe, 1995)
Others:
Political Corruption in Transition: A Skeptic’s Handbook, ed. Stephen Kotkin and András Sajó
(Budapest and N.Y. Central European University Press, 2002)
The Cultural Gradient: The Transformation of Ideas in Europe, 1789-1991, ed. Catherine Evtuhov
and Stephen Kotkin (Lanham, MD: Rowman &Littlefield, 2002)
Metodologiia regional’nykh istoricheskikh issledovanii: Rossiiskii i zarubezhnyi opyt [Methodology
of historical regional studies: Russian and Foreign Experience] ed. Aleksandr Kobak,
Stephen Kotkin, Alla Sevast’ianova (St. Petersburg: Notabene, 2000)
John Scott, Behind the Urals: An American Worker in Russia’s City of Steel, enlarged edition
prepared by Stephen Kotkin (Bloomington: Indiana University Press, 1989); translated into
Russian as Za uralom: Amerikanskii rabochii v russkom gorode stali (Moscow: Moscow
University Press, 1991)
4) Guest-edited Journal Issues
“Wartime Economies and Labor,” special issue of International Labor and Working Class History
(ILWCH), 58 (October 2000)
“Labor under Communism,” special issue of ILWCH, 50 (October 1996)
5) Articles in Peer-Review Journals
“Mongol Commonwealth? Exchange and Governance across the post-Mongol Space,” Kritika, 8/3
(2007): 487-531
“The State – Is It Us? Memoirs, Archives, and Kremlinology,” Russian Review, 61/1 (2002), 35-51
“Modern Times: the Soviet Union and the Interwar Conjuncture,” Kritika, 2/1 (2001): 111-64
“1991 and the Russian Revolution: Sources, Conceptual Categories, Analytical Frameworks,”
Journal of Modern History, 70/2 (1998): 684-725
“Discovering the Socialist City,” Russian History/ Histoire Russe, 23/1-4 (1996): 231-63
“Terror, Rehabilitation, and Historical Memory: An Interview with Dmitrii Iurasov, Conducted and
Translated by Stephen Kotkin,” Russian Review, 51/2 (1992): 238-62
“One Hand Clapping: Workers in 1917,” Labor History, 32/4 (1991): 604-20
6) Articles in Books and Elsewhere
“Coda: If Stalin had Died,” New York Review of Books, Nov. 6, 2014 (book excerpt)
“Afterword: Karl Marx’s Crystal Ball,” in The Communist Manifesto (New York: Random House,
Signet Classics, 2011), 113-28.
“Stalinizm kak tsivilizatsiia,” Ural’ski vestnik, 2011, no. 1: 77-81
“The Kiss of Debt: The East Bloc Goes Borrowing,” in Daniel Sargent et al. (eds.) Shock of the
Global: The 1970s in Perspective (Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 2010)
“Comment: From Overlooking to Overestimating Authoritarianism?” Slavic Review, 68/3 (2009):
548-51.
“Eurasianism is Dead. Long Live Eurasia?” NCEEER, Working Paper, September 2002
“Liberalism, Geopolitics, Corruption,” in Kotkin and Sajó, Political Corruption in Transition: A
Skeptic’s Handbook (Budapest: Central European University, 2002)
“Govorit’ po bol’shevistki (iz kn.‘Magnitnaia gora: Stalinizm kak tsivilizatsiia’,” in Michael David-
Fox (ed.), Amerikanskaia rusistika: Vekhi istoriografii poslednikh let. Sovetskii period:
Antologiia (Samara: Samarskii universitet, 2001), 250-328
“Modern Times: Die Sowjetunion im Zusammenhang der Ereignisse zwischen den Weltkriegen”
[German translation of “Modern Times”], in Petra Becker, Katrin Mundt, Dagmar Steinweg
(eds.), Zwischen Anacrhonismus und Fortschritt: Modernisierungsprozesses und ihre
Interferenzen in der russischen und sowjetischen Kultur des 20. Jahrhunderts (Bochum:
Projekt Verlag, 2001), 50-132
“O kraevedenie i ego metodologii,” in Kobak, Kotkin, Sevast’ianova, Metodologiia regional’nykh
istoricheskikh issledovanii (2000), 16-22
“Class, the Working Class, and the Politburo,” ILWCH, 57, 2000, 48-52
“In Search of the Mongols and Mongolia: A Multinational Odyssey,” in Landlocked
Cosmopolitanism (Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, 1999)
“Robert Kerner and the Northeast Asia Seminar,” Acta Slavica Iaponica, 1997, tomus XV, 93-113
“Defining Territories and Empires: From Mongol Ulus to Russian Siberia 1200-1800,” in Tetsuo
Mochizuki (ed.), Socio-Cultural Dimensions of the Changes in the Slavic-Eurasian World
(Sapporo: Hokkaido University Slavic Research Center, 1997), 329-62
“In Search of the Nomenklatura: Yesterday’s USSR, Today’s Russia,” East European Constitutional
Review, 6/4 (1997): 104-20
“Coercion and Identity: Workers’ Lives in Stalin’s Showcase City,” in Lewis Siegelbaum and Ronald
Suny (eds.), Making Workers Soviet: Power, Class, and Identities (Ithaca: Cornell University,
1994), 274-310
“Shelter and Subjectivity in the Stalin Period: A Case Study of Magnitogorsk,” in William Brumfield
and Blair Ruble (eds.), Russian Housing in the Modern Age: Design and Social History
(Washington, D.C.: Woodrow Wilson Center and Cambridge University, 1993), 171-210
“Peopling Magnitostroi: The Politics of Demography,” in William Rosenberg and Lewis
Siegelbaum (eds.), Social Dimensions of Soviet Industrialization, (Bloomington: Indiana
University, 1993), 63-104
“Birthpangs of Socialist Culture,” Slavic Research Center, Hokkaido University, Occasional Papers,
No. 46, 1993
“Steeltown, USSR. Glasnost, Perestroika and Destalinization in the Provinces,” Papers of the Center
for Slavic Studies, University of California, Berkeley (1988), No. 1
7) Review Essays
“Debate on Uncivil Society,” East Central Europe, 40/1-2 (2013): 174-82
“Sticking Power,” TLS, March 1, 2012: 7-8
“The Unbalanced Triangle: What Chinese-Russian Relations Mean for the United States,” Foreign
Affairs, 88/5 (Sept-Oct 2009): 130-8
“Myth of the New Cold War,” Prospect (April 2008): 30-5
“Let Saigons be Saigons,” The New Republic (30 January 2008): 44-7
“Gasputin,” The New Republic (29 April 2006)
“A Conspiracy So Immense,” The New Republic (13 February 2006)
“Teenage Country,” The New Republic (14 March 2005): 27-34
“Left Behind,” The New Yorker (29 September 2003): 102-6
“Truth and Consequences,” The New Republic (31 March 2003): 28-34
“The Bear Hug,” The New Republic (3 June 2002): 31-35
“Trashcanistan: A Tour through the Wreckage of the Soviet Empire,” The New Republic (15
April 2002): 26-38
“Catastrophic Playgrounds,” London Review of Books (18 October 2001): 10-12; posted at
http://www.guardian.co.uk
“Kremlinologist as Hero,” The New Republic (6 November 2000): 45-47
“The Information Specialist,” The New Republic (9 October 2000): 34-40
“Putin and other Parasites: What Stands in the Way of Russia is Russia,” The New Republic (5 June
2000): 27-34
“The Rubble: Russia, the Soviet Union, and the Presentness of the Past,” The New Republic (25
January 1999): 28-36
“Stealing the State: the Soviet Collapse and the Russian Collapse,” The New Republic (13 April
1998): 6-33
8) Book and Film Reviews
The Last Empire: The Final Days of the Soviet Union. By Serhii Plokhy. NY: Basic, 2014
Slavic Review, forthcoming 2015
Popular Support for an Undemocratic Regime: The Changing Views of Russians. By Richard Rose et
al. New York: Cambridge, 2011
Times Higher Education Supplement, 8 September 2011
Day of the Oprichnik, by Vladimir Sorokin. NY: Farrar, Straus, Giroux, 2011
New York Times, 13 March 2011
Nothing to Envy: Ordinary Lives in North Korea, by Barbara Demick. NY: Random House, 2010
The Cleanest Race: How North Koreans See Themselves and Why It Matters, by B.R. Myers.
Melville House, 2010
Washington Post, 28 February 2010
The Murder of Nikolai Vavilov: The Story of Stalin’s Persecution of one of the Twentieth Century’s
Greatest Scientists, by Peter Pringle. London, JR Books, 2008.
TLS, 4 December 2009
Mr. Market Miscalculates, by James Grant. Mt. Jackson, Va.: Axios, 2008
New York Times, 4 January 2009
Dubai: The Vulnerabilities of Success, by Christopher M. Davidson. New York: Columbia, 2008
New York Times, 7 December 2008
Outliers: the Story of Success, by Malcolm Gladwell. Boston: Little, Brown, 2008
New York Times, 3 November 2008
The Race between Education and Technology, by Claudia Goldin and Lawrence F. Katz. Cambridge:
Harvard, 2008
New York Times, 5 October 2008
Hot, Flat and Crowded, by Thomas L. Friedman. New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2008
New York Times, 7 September 2008
Life of a European Mandarin, by Derk-Jan Eppink. Tielt, Lannoo, 2007
New York Times, 3 August 2008
Return of History and the End of Dreams, by Robert Kagan. Knopf, 2008
The Post-American World, by Fareed Zakaria. Norton, 2008
New York Times, 6 July 2008
Creative Capital: Georges Doriot and the Birth of Venture Capital, by Spencer Ante. Harvard
Business, 2008
New York Times, 1 June 2008
Rupert Murdoch’s China Adventures, Bruce Dover. Tuttle, 2008
New York Times, 4 May 2008
The Trillion Dollar Meltdown, Charles R. Morris. Public Affairs, 2008
Bad Money, by Kevin Phillips. Viking, 2008
New York Times, 6 April 2008
Getting Russia Right, by Dmitri Trenin. Washington, D.C.: Carnegie Endowment, 2007
Russia’s Capitalist Revolution, by Anders Aslund. Washington, D.C.: Peterson Institute, 2007
New York Times, 2 March 2008
Judgment, by Noel M. Tichy and Warren G. Bennis. New York: Portfolio, 2007
New York Times, 3 February 2008
A Nation of Counterfeiters: Capitalists, Con Men, and the Making of the United States, by Stephen
Mihm. Harvard University Press, 2007
New York Times, 6 January 2008
Redefining Global Strategy, by Pankaj Ghemawat. Harvard Business School, 2007
New York Times, 3 Dec. 2007
Military Inc.: Inside Pakistan’s Military Economy, by Ayesha Siddiqa. Pluto Press, 2007.
New York Times, 4 November 2007
The Age of Turbulence: Adventures in a New World, by Alan Greenspan. NY: Penguin, 2007.
New York Times, 7 October 2007
Russian Foreign Policy in the 21
st
Century and the Shadow of the Past, edited by Robert Legvold.
New York: Columbia University, 2007
Foreign Affairs, 86/5 (Sept.-Oct. 2007)
Supercapitalism: The Transformation of Business, Democracy, and Everyday Life, by Robert B.
Reich. New York: Knopf
New York Times, 2 September 2007
Off-Ramps and On-Ramps, by Silvia Ann Hewlett. Cambridge, MA: Harvard Business School
New York Times, 5 August 2007
The Bottom Billion, by Paul Collier. New York: Oxford University
Untapped: the Scramble for Africa’s Oil, by John Ghazvinian. New York: Harcourt
New York Times, 8 July 2007
Connected: 24 Hours in the Global Economy, by Daniel Altman. New York: FSG
New York Times, 3 June 2007
The Emerging Markets Century, by Antoine van Agtmael. New York: Free Press
New York Times, 6 May 2007
Inside the House of Money, by Steven Drobny. New York: Wiley
New York Times, 4 March 2007
Japan Remodeled, by Steven K. Vogel. Ithaca: Cornell
New York Times, 7 January 2007
China Shakes the World, by James Kynge. New York: Houghton Mifflin
New York Times, 5 November 2006
Making Globalization Work, by Joseph Stiglitz. New York: W.W. Norton
New York Times, 3 September 2006
The Unknown Stalin, by Zhores Medvedev and Roy Medvedev. London: I.B. Tauris
Stalin and His Hangman, by Donald Rayfield. London: Penguin/Viking
Times Literary Supplement, 12 November 2004
North Korea: Another Country, by Bruce Cumings. N.Y.: Free Press
New York Times, 24 January 2004
The Mission: Waging War and Keeping Peace with America’s Military, by Dana Priest. NY: Norton,
American Prospect, 14/9 (October 2003)
Putin’s Russia, by Lilia Shevtsova. Washington, DC: Carnegie Endowment, 2003
Washington Post Book World, 22-28 June 2003
The Dust of Empire: The Race for Mastery in the Asian Heartland, by Karl E. Meyer
New York Times, 21 June 2003
“’Tycoon: A New Russian,” film by Pavel Lungin
New York Times Arts and Leisure, 15 June 2003
Gulag: A History, by Anne Applebaum. New York: Doubleday, 2003
Slate (slate.msn.com), posted 27 May 2003
Sakharov: A Biography, by Richard Lourie. Hanover and London: Brandeis/University Press of New
England, 2002
Science, 23 August 2002, 1281-2
The Northern Territories Dispute and Russo-Japanese Relations, by Tsuyoshi Hasegawa. Berkeley:
University of California, International and Area Studies, 1998
Journal of Japanese Studies, 26/1 (2000), 270-4
After the Collapse: Russia Seeks its Place as a Great Power, by Dimitri Simes. New York: Simon and
Schuster, 1999
Milken Institute Review, 1/2 (1999), 90-2
Russia: A History, ed. by Gregory Freeze. New York: Oxford, 1998; A History of Russia in the
Twentieth Century, by Robert Service. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University, 1998
New York Times Book Review, 3 May 1998
Revelations from the Russian Archives: Documents in English Translation, ed. by Diane P. Koenker
and Ronald D. Bachman. Washington, D.C. Library of Congress, 1997
Slavic Review, 57/2 (1998), 455-6
Popular Opinion in Stalin’s Russia: Terror, Propaganda, and Dissent, 1934-1941, by Sarah Davies.
Cambridge: Cambridge University, 1997
Europe-Asia Studies, 50/4 (1998), 739-42
“Magnitogorsk: Forging the New Man,” directed by Jan Pieter Smit (1996). First Run Icarus Films
Slavic Review, 57/4 (1998), 878-9
The Ghost of the Executed Engineer: Technology and the Fall of the Soviet Union, by Loren Graham.
Cambridge, MA: Harvard University, 1993
Historical Studies in the Physical and Biological Sciences, 28/1 (1997)
Inside the Kremlin’s Cold War: From Stalin to Khrushchev, by Vladislav Zubok and Constantine
Pleshakov. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University, 1996
New York Times Book Review, 22 September 1996
Moscow: Governing the Socialist Metropolis, by Timothy J. Colton. Cambridge, MA: Harvard
University, 1995
New York Times Book Review, 7 January 1996
Workers of the Donbass Speak: Survival and Identity in the New Ukraine, 19189-1992. by Lewis H.
Siegelbaum and Daniel J. Walkowitz. Albany, NY: State University of New York, 1995
Labor History, 37/1 (1996), 145-6
The Gulag at War: Stalin’s Forced Labour System in the Light of the Archives, by Edward Bacon.
New York: New York University, 1994
Slavic Review, 55/1 (1996), 169-70
Between Tokyo and Moscow: The History of an Uneasy Relationship, 1972 to the 1990s, by Joachim
Glaubitz. Honolulu: University of Hawaii Press, 1995
Journal of Asian Studies, 55/1 (1996), 130-1
Stalin’s Letters to Molotov, 1925-1936, ed. by Lars T. Lih, Oleg V. Naumov, and Oleg V. Khlevniuk.
Translated from the Russian by Cathy Fitzpatrick. New Haven: Yale University, 1995; Pis’ma I.V.
Stalina V.M. Molotovu, 1925-1936 gg.: Sbornik dokumentov. Moscow: Rossiia molodaia, 1995;
Arkhiv noveishei istorii Rossii. Tom II. “Osobaia papka” V.M. Molotova: Iz materialov Sekretariata
NKVD-MVD SSSR 1944-56 gg. Katalog dokumentov, ed. by V.A. Kozlov and S.V. Mironenko.
Moscow: Blagovest, 1994
Slavic Review, 54/4 (1995), 1017-9
Stalinist Terror: New Perspectives, ed. by J. Arch Getty and Roberta T. Manning. Cambridge:
Cambridge University, 1993
Russian Review, 54/4 (1995), 635-7
Labor in the Russian Revolution: Factory Committees and Trade Unions, 1917-1918, by Gennady
Shkliarevsky. New York: St. Martin’s, 1993; Soviet State and Society Between Revolutions, 1918-
1929, by Lewis Siegelbaum. New York: Cambridge University, 1992; The Electrification of Russia,
1880-1926, by Jonathan Coopersmith. Ithaca and London: Cornell University, 1993
Journal of Modern History, 67/2 (1995), 518-22
The Cultural Front: Power and Culture in Revolutionary Russia, by Sheila Fitzpatrick. Ithaca and
London: Cornell University, 1992
Slavic Review, 54/2 (1995), 475-76
Soviet Workers and de-Stalinization: The Consolidation of the Modern System of Soviet Production
Relations, 1953-1964, by Donald Filtzer. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1992
American Historical Review, 99/3 (1994), 945-6
The Russian Far East: A History, by John J. Stephan. Stanford: Stanford University, 1994
Russian History/Histoire Russe, 21/2 (1994), 232-4
One Step Backwards, Two Steps Forward: Soviet Society and Politics under the New Economic
Policy, by Roger Pethybridge. Oxford: Clarendon, 1990
Russian History/ Histoire Russe, 20/1-4 (1993), 369-70
Stalinism: Its Nature and Aftermath. Essays in Honour of Moshe Lewin, ed. by Nick Lampert and
Gábor Tamás Rittersporn. Armonk, N.Y.: M. E. Sharpe, 1992
Slavic Review, 52/1 (1993), 164-6
Russia Beyond Communism: A Chronicle of National Rebirth, by Vladimir Krasnov. Boulder:
Westview, 1991
Political Science Quarterly, 107/3 (1992), 581-2
Soviet Social Problems, ed. by Anthony Jones, Walter D. Connor, David E. Powell. Boulder:
Westview, 1991
Canadian-American Slavic Studies, 26/1-4 (1992), 390-2
A Researcher’s Guide to Sources on Soviet Social History in the 1930s, ed. Sheila Fitzpatrick and
Lynne Viola. Armonk, New York: M.E. Sharpe, 1990
Canadian Slavonic Papers, 34/1-2 (1992), 166-7
“Inside Russia,” directed by Charles Stewart (1941). International Historic Films. Chicago, IL.
Russian Review, 50/4 (1991), 489
9) journalism, encyclopedia articles/newsletters
“Rouhani’s Gorbachev Moment,” http://www.foreignaffairs.com, November 24, 2013
“Mr. Xi Goes to Moscow,” International Herald Tribune, March 28, 2013
“How Did Russia Rebuild Itself? Sorry, But You’re Wrong,” History News Network, 26 January
2009: http://hnn.us/articles/59713.html
“The Russians are Coming,” The Chronicle Review, 5 September 2008
“A Discussion of War and Peace,” http://readingroom.blogs.nytimes.com/, October-November 2007
“What is to be Done?” Financial Times Weekend, 6 March 2004
“A World War among the Professors,” New York Times, 7 September 2002
“Buddy, It’s the Money That Talks,” Sunday Times [London], 18 November 2001
“What They Knew (Not!): 44 Years of CIA Secrets,” New York Times, 17 March 2001
“A Tsar is Born,” The New Republic, 5 April 1999, 16-18
“Disappearing Rubles, Omnipresent Rust Belt,” New York Times, 5 October 1998
“Mikhail Gorbachev,” in The Encyclopedia of Political Revolutions. Edited by Jack Goldstone
(Washington, D.C.: Congressional Quarterly Books, 1998), 202-3
“Union of Soviet Socialist Republics: Collapse and Dissolution 1989-91,” The Encyclopedia of
Political Revolutions, 489-93
“Europe and European Borders since 1989-91,” in Tadayuki Hayashi (ed.), The Emerging New
Regional Order in Central and Eastern Europe (Sapporo: Hokkaido University Slavic
Center, 1997), 285-92
“Amerika-no Roshia kenkyūkai: 1989-91 nen o sakai ni, nani ga kowatta ka,” Slavic Research Center
News, no. 66, July 1996, 7-9
“Nachrichten aus Magnitogorsk,” Bauwelt, 128, 29 December 1995, 2754-63
“The Soviet Rustbelt,” The Harriman Institute Forum, 4/2 (February 1991)
10) memorials
“Postcript: Eric Hobsbawm” The New Yorker, October 1, 2012:
http://www.newyorker.com/online/blogs/newsdesk/2012/10/postscript-ej-hobsbawm.html
“On Martin Malia (1924-2004),” New York Review of Books, 13 January 2005
INVITED LECTUERS AND OTHER PRESENTATIONS:
“Stalin: Geopolitics, Ideas, Power,” Distinguished Lecture, Jordan Center for the Advanced
Study of Russia, NYU, Sept 2014
“Smashed Pig,” invited presentation, Georgetown U, Sept 2014
“Stalin’s Collectivization: Crime of the Century or Historical Necessity?” Hoover Archives Workshop,
Stanford, August 2013
“The Arc of Russian Statehood: Exceptional Path?” [in Russian], Conference, “1150 Years of
Russian Statehood,” Russian Academy of Sciences, Institute of History, Moscow, Dec. 2012
“Twenty Years of Change in Russian Higher Education: the Lessons,” conference, “20 th
Anniversary of the New Economic School,” Moscow, Dec, 2012
“The State of the World,” keynote lecture, World Pension Forum, conference, Aspen, August 2012
“Global History,” keynote lecture, William Patterson University, annual awards dinner, April 2012
“What was the Soviet Union?” keynote lecture, Wesleyan U. conference, October 2011
“Soviet Collapse: Twentieth Anniversary,’ keynote panel, American Sociological Association, annual
meeting, Las Vegas, August 2011
“Health Care and Pensions: the Secret Key to the Problem,” World Pension Forum conference,
Aspen, Colorado, August 2011
“June 21, 1941,” Keynote, at British Association for Slavonic and East European Studies convention,
April 2011
“Stalin’s Biography: The Life versus World History,” Biography Conference, University of Florida,
Gainesville, March, 2011
“The Global Economy’s Future,” World Pension Forum conference, Stanford, Feb. 2010
“Civil or Uncivil Society?” lecture, ASEEES,a nnual convention, Los Angelese, Nov. 2010
“Investment Portfolios and Strategies,” World Pension Forum conference, Princeton, Sept 2010
“China’s Power,” roundtable at World Pension Forum conference, San Francisco, June 2010
“What is an Archive?” lecture at GWU conference, June 2010
“Civil or Uncivil Society?” lecture at Central European University, Budapest, May 2010
“Soviet Capitulation: Moscow, Warsaw, Berlin, Kabul,” lecture at LSE, May 2010
“More American Wars? A Look into the Future by Way of the Past,” lecture at One Day
University, New York, March 2010
“End of the Cold War: Theories and Facts,” conference paper, Princeton U. March 2010
“Narratives about the Communist Past,” conference paper, Columbia U., Feb. 2010
“Communism’s Collapse,” lecture, Columbia U., February 2010
“Combating Authoritarian Regimes,” presentation at conference, “Lessons of Kremlinology for Iran,”
Booz, Allen, Hamilton, Washington, D.C., January 2010
“June 21, 1941,” lecture at Princeton U., December 2009
“Uncivil Society,” lecture at U.S. Treasury Department, December 2009
“Uncivil Society,” lecture at GWU, December 2009
“Uncivil Society,” lecture at Georgetown, December 2009
“Uncivil Society,” lecture at Princeton U., November 2009
“Uncivil Society,” lecture at Harvard U., November 2009
“Uncivil Society,” lecture at UCLA,October 1989
“Uncivil Society,” lecture at Stanford, October1989
“Uncivil Society,” lecture at U. Washington, Seattle, October 1989
“China, Russia, and the U.S. – Where are we Headed?” lecture at One Day University, New York,
October 2009
“Resilient Authoritarianism,” presentation, World Pension Forum investors’ conference, New York,
October 2009
“Europe Asia Coast to Coast,” keynote lecture, Fisher Forum on Russia’s Role in Human Mobility,
University of Illinois, Champaign-Urbana, June 2009
“Giving Away the Store: Russian-Chinese Relations,” Borton-Mosely Distinguished Lecture on
Eurasia, Columbia University, April 2009
“U.S.-Russia Relations: the Structural Limits,” presentation at the U.S. State Department, Foreign
Service Institute, March 2009
“Communism’s Collapse Revisited,” presentation at George Mason U., March 2009
“Russia vs. China,” presentation at World Pension Forum investors’ conference, South Beach, \
Florida, February 2009
“It’s Not About Oil: the RussiaStory,” presentation at SIT Investments conference, Phoenix, Arizona,
February 2009
“Russian Authoritarianism,” presentation at the Open Society Institute, New York, January 2009
“Russia, Eurasia, and Other Lies,” lecture, Wittenberg University, November 2008
“The Dubai Model,” presentation at World Pension Forum investors’ conference, Dubai, November
2008
“Uncivil Society: the Communist Establishment’s Collapse,” lecture at Stanford, May 2008
“Pharaonic Siberia,” lecture at Stanford, May 2008
“Puzzles in World History,” Georgia Southern U., lecture, March 2008
“Russia: A Part of the World or a World Apart?” lecture, Ramapo College, January 2008
“Russia: Failed Democracy or Surging Market Economy?” lecture for Lime Rock Partners, New
York, November 2007
“Imperial Jumble,” lecture at the University of Pennsylvania, October 2007
“Russia and Islam,” presentation at Columbia University, October 2007
“Impaled Horses: Labyrinths of the Ob River Valley,” lecture at Columbia University, May 2007
“Mongol Commonwealth? Exchange and Governance across the post-Mongol Space,” lecture at
George Mason University, May 2007
“China vs. Russia: Higher Education Going Forward,” presentation for ACLS-sponsored forum at
the New York Public Library, April 2007
“Geopolitics and Global Markets: One for the Money,” lecture, World Pension Forum Alternative
Investments Conference, Miami, Florida, February 2007
“Stepping on the Rake: Russia under Putin and Beyond,” lecture, Foreign Policy Research Institute,
Philadelphia, February 2007
“American Foundations and Post-Communist Higher Education: A Report Card,” lecture Kennan
Institute, Washington, D.C., January 2007
“Social Science Today: Have we Learned Anything from the Soviet Collapse?” lecture, Middlebury
College, November 2006
“The Putin Era in Historical Perspective,” symposium presentation, National Intelligence Council,
Washington, D.C., November 2006
“Geopolitics Today,” lecture, World Pension Forum investors’ conference, St. Michael’s, Maryland,
October 2006
“Trashcanistan,” lecture, Stanford University, April 2006
“Eurasia without Eurasianism?” Empire without Nostalgia?” Colin Miller Memorial Lecture, UC
Berkeley, April 2006
“Eurasia without Eurasianism?” Conference on “Performance in Eurasia,” Miami of Ohio, March
2006
“Eurasia without Eurasianism?” lecture, University of Toronto, March 2006
“Today’s India seen from the Historic Indian Ocean World,” World Pension Forum investors’
conference, New Delhi, January 2006
“Siberian Athens,” Columbia University Russian History Workshop, October 2005
“The New Geopolitics, or the Old?” World Pension Forum investors’ conference, Cape Cod, Mass.,
July 2005
Roundtable on Higher Education in the former Soviet Union, Carnegie Corporation, NY, June 2005
“Central Europe: the End of the Fun?” World Pension Forum investors’ conference, Czech Republic,
May 2005
“Governance: the Continuing Key to Russia,” World Pension Forum investors’ conference, St.
Petersburg, Russia, May 2005
“The Soviet Union Vanishes. Or Does It?” 2005 Distinguished Lecture, Iowa State, April 2005
“Whence the Demand for International Law?” Columbia University, Conference on International
History, April 2005
“Historic Personages: Why?” lecture, Seton Hall University, April 2005
“Impaled Horses: Thoughts on Eurasia,” lecture, New York Public Library, November 2004
“Gorbachev and Reagan,” New School for Social Research, November 2004
“Empire: Russia and the USSR,” lecture, Kansas University, October 2004
“Neither Democracy nor Dictatorship,” lecture, World Pension Forum investors’ conference,
Carlsbad, CA, October 2004
“Putin’s Russia,” roundtable, Harriman Institute, Columbia U., October 2004
“Where is Russia Headed? Domestic and Foreign Policy in Putin’s Second Term” symposium
presentation, National Intelligence Council, Washington, D.C., March, 2004
“Getting Russia Right,” lecture, World Oil and Gas Forum, Houston, Texas, March 2004
“Who Stole My Empire?” lecture, Seton Hall University, December 2003
“Soviet Legacies in Putin’s Russia,” commentary, Council on Foreign relations, NY, November 2003
“The U.S. and Russia in Central Eurasia: New Dialogue or Old Conflicts?” commentary, Columbia
U., November 2003
Conference on Centers of Excellence in Russian Higher Education, Kennan Institute, Washington,
D.C., September 2003
“Soviet/Russian Lessons,” SSRC Workshop on the Middle East, New York, October 2003
“Northeast Asian Regionalism,” presentation at Yonsei University, Wonju, Korea, June 2003
“Informal Mechanisms of Power in Moscow,” presentation at Yonsei University, Seoul, June 2003
“Use and Abuse of the Category ‘Tradition’,” presentation at Seoul national University, June 2003
“Asia’s Shifting Strategic Landscape,” presentation, Foreign Policy Research Institute, Philadelphia,
Feb. 2003
“The Cold War: Lessons for the Future, or an Era That Has Passed?” lecture at Rowan Univ., Nov.
2002
“Judicial Reforms and Chechen Hostage Situation: Contradictions of Russia,” lecture at World
Pension Forum, Washington, D.C., October 2002
“Armageddon Averted,” lecture at Filson Historical Society, Louisville, KY, May 2002
“Getting Russia Right,” lecture at World Pension Forum investors’ conference, Moscow, May 2002
“The History and the Future: Surprises and More Surprises,” lecture at World Pension Forum
investors’ conference, Berlin, May 2002
“Armageddon Averted,” lecture at Stanford University, April 2002
“Armageddon Averted,” lecture at University of Wisconsin, April 2002
“The Challenge of Nationalism,” paper presented at Boston University Conference on the Long-Term
Future, April 2002
“Socialist Urbanism,” commentary for “Harvard Project on the City,” with Rem Koolhaas, NY, Jan.
2002
“Armageddon Averted: The Soviet Collapse, 1970-2000,” presentation at NYU panel, Dec. 2001,
broadcast on C-Span 2 (beginning 21 April 2002)
“Russia in the World,” lecture at the Foreign Policy Research Institute, Philadelphia, Dec. 2001
“Soviet Empire: A World History perspective,” lecture at Birkbeck College, U. of London, Nov. 2001
“Armageddon Averted,” lecture at Glasgow University, Scotland, October 2001
“Russia – What Went Right?” lecture at St. Antony’s Oxford U., October 2001
“From Magnetic Mountain to Armageddon Averted,” lecture at the School of Slavonic and East
European Studies, University College London, October 2001
“States and Statelessness in the Caucasus,” paper presented at Princeton University, Conference on
Chechnya, March 2001
“Russia versus China,” commentary, conference on China’s Minorities, Washington, D.C., February
2001
“Lost in Siberia,” lecture at the University of Michigan, November 2000
“Modern Times,” paper presented at the University of Michigan, November 2000
“Modern Times,” paper presented at Cornell University, September 2000
“Modern Times,” paper presented at the University of Pennsylvania, September 2000
“O kraevedenie i ego metodologii,” paper presented at the Princeton/OSI-Russia Conference on
Kraevedenie, St. Petersburg, Russia, June 2000
“The Soviet Union and Modernization: a Badly Posed Question?” paper presented at The Lottman
Institute for Russian and Soviet Culture, Conference on Modernization, Bochum, Germany,
June 2000
“Continuity of the State? Russia since 1991,” presentation at a Princeton University Workshop on
State Continuity, April 2000
“Back to Manor Farm? The End of Socialism and the Soviet Union,” paper presented at Columbia
University, Workshop on the Twentieth Century, April 2000
“Political Terror,” commentary at the Association of Europeanists Conference, Chicago, March 2000
“Russia 2000: Structural Considerations beneath the Surface,” presentation at the Milken Global
Conference, Los Angeles, March 2000
“Modern Times: The Soviet Union and the Interwar Conjuncture,” paper presented at Harvard
University, February 2000
“Panic in the Kremlin,” audio essay broadcast on Marketplace, National Public Radio, November
1999
“Russia: Looking Back, Looking Forward,” panel discussion at the World Forum II meeting of
Pensions/2000, Chicago, November 1999
“Corruption: on the Politics of a Ubiquitous Analytical Category” presentation at Central European
University, Budapest, November 1999
“Modern Times: the Soviet Union and the Interwar Conjuncture,” paper at L’Institut National
D’Etudes Demographiques, Paris, June 1999
“Modernity and the Welfare State: A Framework for Soviet History,” paper at Ohio State University,
May 1999
“Mysteries of the Ob,” lecture at UCLA, March 1999
“Russian Reform: Past and Future,” panel discussion at the Milken Global Conference, Los Angeles,
March 1999
“Aid and other Myths: Russia and the West,” panel discussion at Columbia University, March 1999
“Russia’s Place in the World,” lecture at the New School for Social Research, March 1999
“The Riddle of the Russian State,” lecture at the New School for Social Research, February 1999
“History without Teleology?” lecture at Yale University, February 1999
“The Soviet Collapse is not Over,” lecture at William Patterson University, November 1998
“Improbable Narratives: the Slavic/Inner Asian Frontier 1500-2000,” lecture at Stanford University,
May 1998
“Archival Fetishism in an Interpretive Wasteland: Soviet History after the Fall,” lecture at Yale
University, October 1997
“Doing Business (or Not) in the Russian Far East,” presentation to the USA-Russia Business Council,
Annual Meeting, San Francisco, October 1997
“Four Interpretative Tendencies: Po-Mo Potpourri, Springtime of Peoples, Resistor Nation, Burnt by
the Sun,” lecture at Stanford University, May 1997
“1991 and the Russian Revolution: Sources, Conceptual Categories, Analytical Frameworks,” paper
presented at the University of California, Berkeley, May 1997
“The Study of Urbanism: An Overview of Methodologies,” lecture at a Conference on the History of
Thessaloniki, Thessaloniki, Greece, May 1997
“Anglo-American Historiography on Russia/USSR before and after 1991,” paper presented to the
Rosiashi Kenkyukai, Tokyo, February 1997
“Defining Territories, Borders, and Empires: From Mongol Ulus to Russian Siberia 1200-1800,”
paper presented to the International Conference on Changes in the Slavic-Eurasian World,
Hokkaido, Japan, January 1997
“Comparing 1991 and 1917: Elites and Empires,” paper presented at the Slavic Research Institute,
Hokkaido University, Japan, November 1996
“On the Nature of Cultural Power: New York, Moscow, Tokyo,” Lecture at Felicia: College de la
culture, Nagoya, Japan, October 1996
“Was There a Revolution in Russia in 1991?” Paper presented at Yonsei University Seoul, Korea,
October 1996
“Russia in the 1990s and Beyond,” paper presented at Yonsei University Wonju, Korea, October
1996
“Europe and European Borders since 1989-1991,” commentary at the International Conference on
Central and Eastern Europe, Hokkaido University, August 1996
“Property as the Key to Understanding post-Communist Russia,” commentary at the Slavic Research
Center, Hokkaido University, Japan, July 1996
“Korea in Transnational Perspective,” opening presentation at Princeton conference on Korea and
Northeast Asia, May 1996
“Panic at the Top: Elites and Revolutions,” paper presented at Macalester College, Minnesota, April
1996
“Robert Kerner and the Northeast Asia Seminar,” paper presented at a conference on the Russian Far
East, Khabarovsk, Russia, August 1995
“What the Archives Don’t Say,” presentation at the World Congress of Slavists, Warsaw, August
1995
“Understanding Terror,” paper presented at the University of Chicago, May 1995
“Mongolia in Northeast Asia,” opening presentation at a conference on Greater Mongolia in the
Twentieth Century, Princeton University, February 1995
“Discovering the Socialist City,” paper presented at the University of California, Berkeley, School of
Architecture, March 1994
“Russia and Northeast Asia,” opening Presentation at Princeton Conference on “Siberia, the Russian
Far East, and Northeast Asia,” December 1993
“Twentieth-century Siberia: An Interpretation,” paper at the AAASS Conference, Honolulu, Hawaii,
November 1993
“The Administrative-Command System and Ideologies of Development in Twentieth-century
Siberia,” presentation to the Kemerovo Province Archives Association, August 1993 [in
Russian]
“Post-Communist Economic and Political Structures: The Case of Kemerovo Oblast,” lecture at the
Slavic Research Center, Hokkaido University, June 1993
“The Rise of the Second Economy in the USSR,” lecture at the Russian History Study Society,
Tokyo, March 1993 [in Russian]
“Culture in the Stalin Period,” lecture at the Slavic Research Center, Hokkaido University, January
1993 [in Russian]
“Case Study Siberia: Post-communist Political and Economic Structures in Historical Perspective,”
presentation at the USSR Academy of Sciences, Siberian Division, Institute of History,
August 1991 [in Russian]
“Anglo-American Interpretations of NEP,” commentary at the International Conference on NEP \
Russia, Novosibirsk, July 1991 [in Russian]
“The Past and Future of `Soviet’ Studies: Politics Endures,” paper at the Harriman Institute Seminar
on the Future of Soviet Studies, February 1991
“The Soviet Rustbelt,” paper presented at the Harriman Institute, December 1990
“Coercion and Identity: Workers’ Lives in Stalin’s Showcase City,” paper at the Conference on
Russian and Soviet Workers, East Lansing, Michigan, November 1990
“The Revival of Historical Memory in the USSR,” paper at the AAASS Convention, Washington,
D.C., October 1990
“Why Study Workers? Observations on the American Study of Soviet Workers,” commentary at the
AAASS Convention, Washington, D.C., October 1990
“Reform or Rust Belt? The Case of Magnitogorsk,” paper presented at the Harriman Institute, 1989
“Peopling Magnitostroi: The Politics of Demography,” paper at the SSRC Conference on the USSR
in the 1930s, Ann Arbor, Michigan, November 1987
Nē, nu, skaidrs, varēji tak tikai ciparu iemest, nevis visu literatūras sarakstu :D!
Nez Kotkins nebija arī bēdīgi slavenā “attiecību restarta” ideologs?
Koments internetā: неужели Мариуполь ждет участь Дебальцево??Очень тревожная инфа от туда.Неужели Порошенко будет дальше играть в мирный план???
http://youtu.be/kLQvKmwsNqI
Pavasarī rakstīju, ka reālākā Krievijas izeja no šī strupceļa ir atklāts karš (uz to arī viss pakāpeniski virzās) un tam sekojošs miera līgums. Otrs riskantāks, bet arī iespējams ceļš ir turpināt “hibrīdkaru” un cerēt, ka ukraiņi pirmie nogurs un piekāpsies, bet tam būs vajadzīgi vēl pāris gadu, kuru varētu Krievijai arī nebūt (ekonomiski).
Mums ne viens, ne otrs scenārijs ne ar ko ļoti dramatisku nedraud, jo karš ar Ukrainu aprīs visus brīvos Krievijas resursus, Baltijai nepietiks. Sliktāk būtu, ja Krievija tiešām sabruktu vai sāktos pilsoņu karš (otrs variants reālāks), manuprāt.
Ok uz gadu diviem to varētu attiecināt, bet Valsts pārapbruņojuma programmai noslēdzoties un ekonomikai pārkārtojoties (importa aizstāšana, korupcijas mazināšana, jaunu tirgu apgūšana) pēc 5 gadiem tā būs pavisam cita RU.
Korupcijas mazināšana :D? Tu nopietni, Krievijā :D?!
NEKAD ar pastāvošo domāšanu turienes masām un ar putinveidīgajiem pie stūres!
BY kā piemērs, tur ir tie paši ļaudis. Jāsāk domāt, kurš būs PĒC Putina un tas ar lielu ticamību nebūs liberālis, drīzāk siloviks ar impērijas revanša ideju un PT baznīcu fonā. Modificējot Ķīnas modeli RU apstākļiem panākumi garantēti.
Putins ir kolektīvs, šajā vēstures posmā reprezentē (ne)zināmu loku. Darīšana ar ilgtermiņa plānošanu, kur Putins nav galvenais spēks, tie joprojām zem aisberga virsotnes.
Ok, Putina nebūs putinisms paliks.
BY interrsants gadījums, tur gan šķiet vadonis (Lembergs), kurš spējis atspoguļot gan partejiskās saimn.elites, gan lielā mērā tautas vēlmes (lai arī propagandas ietekmē) dzīvot nosacīti stabilos apstākļos.
Par baznīcu: skat. Leviatānu: likumība un reliģija tikai vergu slānim, reliģija bez likumības trešajam varas līmenim augstāko valsts mērķu vārdā.
Tas, ko mēs saucam par korupciju, Krievijā vai, sauksim to tā, krievu pasaulē, ir bonusu sistēma. Palūkojies uz SC un GKR Rīgā, ZZS un TP Latvijā – apmaiņā pret lojalitāti un specifisku profesionālismu tiek dota iespēja zagt daloties ar augstāko ešelonu.
Korupciju uzvarēt nevar un mb arī nevajag, to jātur kontrolētā/pieņemamā līmenī, lai netraucē attīstību. Neredzu nevienu iemeslu kādēļ RU nespētu panākt šādu līmeni. Pēdējā laikā RU dara ļoti daudz, lai pakļautu kontrolei činavnieku naudas plūsmu. Nekāda pretošanās nav manāma.
Tieši tā, galvenais, lai kontrolēti. Pluss – katrs kaut cik sasmērējies, katram mapīte.
PS – labi atalgoti orgāni un uztic.personas, kas pārvalda mapītes.
Un ko darīt vienkāršajai tautai, tiem, kam neptiek līdzekļu kādam iesmērēt kukuli vai arī kurus kaimiņš ir pārsolījis kukuļdošanas vairāksolīšanā? Vienalga, kāds režīms tur būs pie varas, korupcija tur bija, ir un būs otra lielākā problēma aiz šovinisma.
Par BY – tur baķķa gandrīz jau no PSRS sabrukšanas bija pie stūres, tauta vēl nepaspēja tikt pār-radikalizēta un smadzenes tai netika vēl izskalotas tik klaji un naidīgi pret Rietumiem, kā tas ir Krievijā.
Pie tam, ne reizi dzirdēts, ka baķkas režīms turās uz māla kājām un var sabrukt pēc mazākās ārējās iejaukšanās no RUS vai NATO puses ;)!
kukuļdošana/ņemšana “taktiskajā” tantiņu-kaimiņu līmenī samērā viegli padodas ārstēšanai , jo devēji/ņēmēji ir neorganizētas fiziskas personas. Kā par problēmu ir vērts runāt par korupciju augstākos līmeņos un par organizētām shēmam, kā arī par korupciju tiesu sistēmā. BY ir ieviesta kārtība tieši taktiskajā līmenī un tas režīmam atmaksājas ar augstiem reitingiem. Bet ko vēl politiķim vajag? Turklāt Lukam ir augsts trauksmainības līmenis un viņš ļoti izlēmīgi un ātri žmiedz saknē jebkādu apdraudējumu. Ja abstrahējamies no konteksta, tas ir ļoti pareizi. Jā, BY ekonomika ir atkarīga no RU labvēlības, bet līdz šim nekas neliecināja ka tas varētu mainīties. Piegriezīs skābekli Maskava, BY iedraudzēsies ar EU, kā vienmēr…