vara bungas: GUGŠ (bij.GRU) kaujinieki mācību nolūkos filtrējas 3B teritorijā. Nav pirmis signāls, kas nonāk publiskajā vidē. Nepubliskajā, protams, zina vairāk. Jāpieņem, ka pašreizējā NBS attīstības stadija un miera laika apstākļos mēs neko nevaram likt pretī. Šādas GUGŠ vienību operācijas tiek rūpīgi plānotas ( kā jau jebkurš kvalifikācijas darbs ieskaitei) un izjaukt tās var tikai fatāla nejaušība vai nu ļoti rupja kļūda. Cower story miera laikā: “Apmaldījās”, sekas: ĀM nota (varbūt) un neieskaite eksāmenā (noteikti). Robežsardzes nav pretinieks. Izķert tādus var pareizi organizēta militārās izlūkošanas sistēma (aktivators) sadarbībā ar speciālo operāciju spēkiem (efektors), ja kāds šādu kombinaciju uzdrošinātos pieļaut politiski.
[..] Artūras Paulauskas, who has since retired from active politics, headed the parliamentary Committee on National Security and Defence in 2016, when Russia had just annexed the Crimean peninsula from Ukraine and started a war in Donbas. In an interview given at the time, Paulauskas indicated that Russian saboteurs might have landed in Juodkrantė on Lithuania’s Curonian Spit during an exercise. In the interview, he said it was this incident that had prompted the State Security Department to say in its 2016 report on national security threats that “there are indications that Russian special-purpose military units are carrying out infiltrations into foreign countries in peacetime”. The media were quick to pick up on this theme of Russian saboteurs and quoted intelligence sources saying that such a penetration could have taken place in Lithuania in 2015, a year after the annexation of Crimea. The Kremlin’s propaganda channels also reacted, calling the information about a possible landing of Russian saboteurs on a Lithuanian seaside “scaremongering”. According to Paulauskas, his words at the time were a deliberate signal to Russia. [..]
PS Avots ir pētījuma LT daļa. EE daļa ir aiz paywall, bet ieskats atrodams šeit
vara bungas 