prom gaz

[…]Disruption of Russian supplies across season (June 2014 to March 2015) could result in shortages (based on average demand) in states in the East of Europe. Bulgaria and FYROM might face a disruption of 60-80% of demand  from  September  to  March,  Poland  20-40%  and  Lithuania  40-60%.  Latvia  and  Estonia  might  face difficulties from October to March with more than 80% of demand not covered;  Finland would face similar disruption from January to March. A 20-40% disruption might also occur in Romania, Croatia, Serbia and
Greece for the late 2014/early 2015. Cross seasonal disruption to supplies transiting Ukraine would also create shortages in South East Europe, with Bulgaria and FYROM affected from September onwards. […]

COMMISSION STAFF WORKING DOCUMENT
In-depth study of European Energy Security

vara bungas: Īsumā tā: ja Krievijas gāzes plūsma pārtrūks Ukrainā vai, ja Krievija pati pārtrauks gāzes padevi EU janvārī, tad pirmajā gadījumā Latviju tas neskars vispār, bet pie otrā scenārija ar esošiem krājumiem līdz pavasarim izdzīvosim. Sliktāk, ja Krievija pati pārtrauks gāzes padevi EU oktobrī, tad gāzes deficīts Latvijā var pārsniegt 80%.