vara bungas: Zemāk ir pus-oficiāls (bet tomēr) jaunākais US militāro aprindu
visaptverošs(c) apkopojošs viedoklis (baltā grāmata) par RU ģeopolitiskajiem mērķiem un tās motivāciju rīkoties tā kā tā rīkojas. Satura apraksts:
“This white paper has been separated into five parts:
Part I analyzes the key sources of motivation or interests that drive Russian global competitive activities and strategy. This part also addresses the fundamental issues being contested and how these issues impact enduring US national interests.
Part II examines, from a Russian perspective, what constitutes legitimate or acceptable deterrence, compellence, and/or escalation management. Part II also evaluates how Russia perceives the continuum of conflict, as well as how it plans for, operates within, and manages risk within the gray zone. Lastly, Part II assesses the implications of the differences between US and Russian thinking for senior political and military decision makers.
Part III identifies actions the Russians are undertaking in the Gray Zone across the following regions: a) Europe, b) Central Asia and China, c) the Middle East, d) Africa, e) Latin America, and f) the Arctic.
Part IV identifies potential actions that the US could employ either proactively or in response to provocative Russian activities in the gray zone across the following regions:a) Europe, b) Central Asia and China, c) the Middle East, d) Africa, e) Latin America, and f) the Arctic.
Part V highlights capabilities that the US requires to effectively respond to actions the Russians are undertaking in the gray zone”
VB: Lieki teikt, ka šāda līmeņa viedoklis tieši ietekmē US politiku attiecībā uz 3B (skat. III–9 un IV-17. nodaļu). Ne visiem patiks, kas tur stāv rakstīts, bet ir veselīgi atbrīvoties no ilūzijām. Trampa ekscentriskie gājieni nav nemaz tik ekscentriski, jo bieži sakrīt ar autoru rekomendācijām.
“[..] We could positively impact the situation by signaling our support for the Baltic States through continued NATO presence there while publicly encouraging societal reconciliation between ethnic Balts and ethnic Russians, and publicly discouraging “Russian-bashing” by Baltic elites. Send a signal that we are happy to support them within Western frameworks but expect them to refrain from provoking negative/aggressive behavior from Russia[..]”
[..] There is broad consensus among the contributors that Russian President Vladimir Putin is indeed adhering to a global grand strategy, which aims to achieve the following goals:
•Reclaim and secure Russia’s influence over former Soviet nations
•Regain worldwide recognition as a “great power”
•Portray itself as a reliable actor, a key regional powerbroker, and a successful mediator (Katz; Borshchevskaya) in order to gain economic, military, and political influence over nations worldwide and to refine the liberalist rules and norms that currently govern the world order (Lamoreaux)