vara bungas: Rīcības plāns “ja, kas – atstāšu valsti” nav raksturūgs tikai LV hipsteriem. US ir vesela subkultūra, kas grupējas ap “vasts atstājēju” (eskeipistu) manifestu – grāmatu “The Sovereign Individual: How to Survive and Thrive During the Collapse of the Welfare State.“, kas publicēta 1997.gadā, bet līdz šim plaši pazīstama tikai šaurajās aprindās. Pilnīgi nepamatoti, jāsaka. Darbs ir ļoti interesants, vizionārs, uzrakstīts saprotāmā valodā un satur tēzes, kas šodien ir ļoti aktuālas. Nu, piemēram…
[..] As we explore later, we expect nationalism to be a major rallying theme of persons with low skills nostalgic for compulsion as the welfare state collapses in the Western democracies. You haven’t seen anything yet. For most persons in the West the fallout from the death of Communism has seemed relatively benign. You have seen a
drop in military spending, a plunge in aluminum prices, and a new source of hockey players for the NHL. That is the good news. It is news that most people who came of age in the twentieth century could applaud, especially if they are hockey fans. Most of the news that is destined to prove less popular is still to come. With the passage of the Industrial Age, the megapolitical conditions that democracy satisfied are rapidly ceasing to exist. Therefore, it is doubtful that mass democracy and the welfare state will survive long in the new megapolitical conditions of the Information Age. [..]
Nevaru un negribu rakstīt par šo recenzijas, bet gatavnieku pārdomām piedāvāju šīs grāmatas autoru rekomendācijas, kas 1:1 formātā būs noderīgas tikai ļoti turīgiem ļaudīm. Mans secinājums – uz pasaules vairs nav vietas kur var aizbēgt un turpināt puslīdz ierastu dzīvi. Tā kā būs vien jāierokas savā pagalmā.
IMPLICATIONS AND STRATEGIES
“Of all 36 ways to get out of trouble, the best way is – leave.”CHINESE PROVERB
The argument of this book has many unorthodox implications for achieving financial
independence in the Information Age. Among the more important:
1. Citizenship is obsolete. To optimize your lifetime earnings and become a
Sovereign Individual, you will need to become a customer of a government or
protection service rather than a citizen. Instead of paying whatever tax burden
is imposed upon you by grasping politicians, you must place yourself in a
position to negotiate a private tax treaty that obliges you to pay no more for
services of government than they are actually worth to you.
2. Of all the nationalities on the globe, U.S. citizenship conveys the greatest
liabilities and places the most hindrances in the way of becoming a Sovereign
Individual. The American seeking financial independence will therefore
obtain other passports as a necessary step toward privatizing or
denationalizing himself. If you are not an American, it is economically
irrational to become a resident of the United States and thus expose yourself
to predatory U.S. taxes, including exit taxes.
3. Based upon the history of other dominant systems facing collapse, those who
opt for the ultimum refugium and get out early will be better off in the end.
The dangers of a nationalist reaction to the crisis of the nationstate make it
important not to underestimate the scope for tyranny and mischief. You
should never leave your money in any jurisdiction that claims the right to
conscript you, your children, or grandchildren.
4. Whatever your current residence or nationality, to optimize your wealth you
should primarily reside in a country other than that from which you hold your
first passport, while keeping the bulk of your money in yet a third jurisdiction,
preferably a tax haven.
5. You should travel widely to select alternative residences in attractive locales
where you will have right of entry in an emergency.
6. Violence will become more random and localized; organized crime will grow
in scope. It will therefore be more important to locate in secure physical
spaces than in the twentieth century. Protection will be more technological
309than juridical. Walling out troublemakers is an effective as well as traditional
way of minimizing criminal violence in times of weak central authority.
7. If you are financially successful, you should probably hire your own retainers
to guarantee your protection against criminals, protection rackets, and the
covert mischief of governments. Police functions will increasingly be filled
by private guards linked to merchant and community associations.
8. Areas of opportunity and security will shift. Economies that have been rich
during the Industrial Era may well be subject to deflation of living standards
and social unrest as governments prove incapable of guaranteeing prosperity
and entitlement programs collapse.
9. The forty-eight least-developed countries, comprising some 550 million
persons with per capita income of less than $500 per head, will have widely
divergent fates in the information Age. Most will become even more
marginalized and desperate, providing a venue for only the most intrepid
investors. But those that can overcome structural problems to preserve public
health and order stand to benefit from rapid income growth.
10. Jurisdictions of choice in which to enjoy high living standards with economic
opportunity include reform areas in the Southern hemisphere, such as New
Zealand, Chile, and Argentina, which boast adequate to superior infrastructure
and many beautiful landscapes and are unlikely to be targets of terrorists
wielding nuclear, chemical, or biological weapons.
11. The fastest-growing and most important new economy of the next century will
not be China but the cybereconomy. To take full advantage of it, you will
need to place your business or profession on the World Wide Web.
12. Encryption will be an important feature of commerce on the Web and the
realization of individual autonomy. You should acquire and begin using
strong encryption immediately. Just as the church attempted to ban printing at
the twilight of the Middle Ages, so the United States and other aggressive
governments bent on control will seek to bar effective encryption. As
happened five centuries ago, this may merely drive the taboo technology into
areas where the writ of established authority is weakest, assuring that it will be
put to its most subversive use in undermining state control everywhere.
13. Where possible, all businesses should be domiciled offshore in a tax-haven
jurisdiction. This is particularly important for Websites and Internet
addresses, where there is virtually no advantage in locating in an on-shore,
14. Corporations in the Information Age will increasingly become “virtual
corporations” – bundles of contracting relations without any material reality,
and perhaps without physical assets. The virtual corporation should be
domiciled with an offshore trust to minimize tax liabilities.
15. Incomes will become more unequal within jurisdictions but more equal
between them. Countries with a tradition of a very unequal distribution of
incomes may be relatively more stable under these conditions than those
jurisdictions where strong expectations of income equality have developed in
the Industrial period.
16. As a relative performance becomes more important than absolute output in
determining compensation, an ever more important occupation will be that of
the agent, not merely for the highly paid performer, like a football star or an
opera singer, but also for persons of modest skills, who may welcome help in
landing a paying position.
17. “Jobs” will increasingly become tasks or “piece work” rather than positions
within an organization.
18. Many members of regulated professions will be displaced by digital servants
employing interactive information-retrieval systems.
19. Control over resources will shift away from the state to persons of superior
skills and intelligence, as more wealth will be created by adding knowledge to
20. As Professor Guy Bois observed in his history, The Transformation of the
Year One Thousand, “in a period of increasing difficulties, the weaker
elements in the social body tend to polarize around a rising star.”‘ In the
transformation of the year two thousand, the rising star will be the Sovereign
Individual. As the nation-state system breaks down, risk-averse persons who
formerly would have sought employment with government may find an
alternative in affiliating as retainers to the very rich.
21. You should expect a slowdown or decline in per capita consumption in
countries such as the United States, which have been the leading consumers of
the world’s products in the late stages of industrialism.
22. Debt deflation may accompany the transition to the new millennium.
23. The death of politics will mean the end of central bank regulation and
manipulation of money. Cybermoney will become the new money of the
Information Age, replacing the paper money of Industrialism. This means not
only a change in the fortunes of banknote printers, it implies the death of
inflation as an effective means by which nation-states can commandeer
resources. Real interest rates will tend to rise.
24. While the experience of the nineteenth century proves that long-term growth
can proceed apace even while deflation raises the value of money, business
and investment strategies must be adjusted to the unfamiliar realities of
deflation-that is, debt should be avoided; savings and cost reductions should
be pursued with greater urgency; long-term contracts and compensation
packages should probably be drawn with flexible nominal terms.
25. Taxing capacity in the leading nation-states will fall away by 50 to 70 percent,
while it will prove far more difficult to reduce spending in an orderly way.
The result to be expected is a continuation of deficits that plague most OECD
countries, accompanied by high real-interest rates.
26. Technical innovations that displace employment should probably be
introduced in jurisdictions that have no tradition of producing whatever
product or service is in question.
27. Cognitive skills will be rewarded as never before. It will be more important to
think clearly, as ideas will become a form of wealth.
28. Thinking about the end of the current system is taboo. To understand the
great transformation to the Information Age, you must transcend conventional
thinking and conventional information sources.
29. Because incomes for the very rich will rise faster than for others in advanced
economies, an area of growing demand will be services and products that
cater to the needs of the very rich.
30. The growing danger of crime, particularly embezzlement and undetectable
theft, will make morality and honor among associates more crucial and highly
valued than it was during the Industrial Era, particularly in its waning years.
4 domas par “Drošākā vieta pasaulē ir …”
Sasodīti laba prognoze priekš 1997. gada. Es tik atzīmēšu, ka nodokļu paradīzes sāk presēt, ierobežot to darbību, naudas plūsmas tiek padarītas arvien vairāk caurspīdīgas, lielajiem tehnoloģiju gigantiem liek maksāt nodokļus valstīs, kur tie strādā. Piem. ES liek interneta gigantiem maksāt nodokļus, lai uzturētu tradicionālos medijus.
Interesanta lasāmviela. Pārfāzējot “Cionas gudro protokolus”, šos varētu nosaukt par “Eikronas egoistu protokoliem”. Egoisma pilnas tēzes, viss tikai par savas pakaļas glābšanu. Ja piepildītos kaut daļa no prognozētā, būtu maz cerību līferēt pa jurisdikcijām un nodarboties ar “kiberbiznesu” – pie lidostas durvīm ar pagali pa galvu iedotu “pārmaiņu rezultātā cietušie” un “vizionāram” būtu beigas.
Ne gluži. Pieļauju, ka DĀzijas valstīs būtu diezgan mierīgi. Nevaru iedomāties tādu egoisma pakāpi Japānā. Ķīna, Taivāna, Singapūra arī pie sevis zināmu stabilitāti nodrošinās.
Vēl viens moments. Visādas tur ārzonas, eksteritoriālie finanšu un IKT pakalpojumi var dzīvot, jo ir lielās attīstītās valstis kā klienti. Tiklīdz šajās valstīs sāksies haoss, tā pieprasījums būtiski kritīsies.