Nāves skupstu eksponente (papildināts 23.09.)


[…] Our statistical analysis of the reproduction number of EVD (Ebola Virus Disease –VB) in West Africa has demonstrated that the continuous growth of cases from June to August 2014 signalled a major epidemic, which is in line with estimates of the Rt above 1.0. Moreover, the timing of Rt reaching levels above one is in line with a concomitant surge in cases in Sierra Leone and Liberia. In a worst-case hypothetical scenario, should the outbreak continue with recent trends, the case burden could gain an additional 77,181 to 277,124 cases by the end of 2014. Although such numbers must be interpreted with caution (as they rest on an assumption of continued exponential growth within 2014, which is unlikely), our study supports the notion that the ongoing EVD epidemic must be regarded as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern .[…]

avots: EUROSURVEILLANCE

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vara bungas: Gribējāt agro brīdinājumu? Te būs #1. Nekādas panikas celšanas, vienkārši pēc gada, ja viss notiks pēc sliktākā scenārija, Ebolas vīrusa izplatība turpināsies pēc eksponentes principa, ko var aprakstīt  kā  funkciju, kas definēta ar vienādību y=ax, kur a>0 un a nav 1. Uz grafika tā ir gandrīz vertikāli augšupejoša līkne. Kas no tā NBS ? Vēl nezinu, bet ASV jau nosūtīja uz Libēriju  3000 karavīru ne jau plānotām mācībām ar vietējo armiju un piešķīra 1 miljardu (!) us dolāru no Pentagona (!) budžeta, nolūkā “combating the deadly disease”…  Tātad, ja pēc pāris gadiem epidēmija sasniegs Eiropu, bez NBS iesaistes drošības pasākumos neiztiks, lai kā mūsu “pārmijnieki” nemēģinātu norādīt uz VUGD, policijas vai VM vadošo lomu epidemioloģiskās drošības  nodrošināšanā. Esam gatavi vismaz morāli, organizatoriski? Dod Die*s.

Vārds speciālistiem:

[…] Iespējas saslimt ar Ebola drudzi latvietim būtu tikai tādā gadījumā, ja kāds sadomātu braukt uz Rietumāfriku, bučot līķi vai slimnieku. Lai cik tas nebūtu dīvaini, šobrīd Rietumāfrikā vīruss izplatās tieši ar paradumu – noskūpstīt līķi. Ebola vīrusu nevar iegūt ne ar pārtiku, ne peldoties, ne ar naudu, ne drēbēm. Ne odi, ne mušas, ne ērces šo vīrusu nepārnēsā. Eiropā vīruss var nonākt tikai tad, ja kāds ar to atlido no Āfrikas, bet tālāka izplatība ir praktiski neiespējama.[…]

Pēteris Apinis

 

This is likely the greatest peacetime challenge that the United Nations and its agencies have ever faced,”

Dr. Margaret Chan, WHO chief

 

 Un vēl… varabungu statistika rāda, ka šeit ieskatās lasītāji no eksotiskām valstīm, nedomāju, ka šādi kavē laiku vietējie zemnieki vai tūristi.  Veči, mēs turam par jums īkšķus un lietojiet labi daudz PX (vai kas jums tur ir) visīša, lai nekāda zaraza nepielīp 🙂 Gan jau viss būs labi.

 UPD1  …Мертвых под покровом ночи выносят на улицу и оставляют там. Представьте: трупы разлагаются на улице, их грызут собаки. Иногда кажется, что люди умирают, как мухи…

Арго Партс (UNDAC)

32 domas par “Nāves skupstu eksponente (papildināts 23.09.)

    • Var vilkt paralēles ar govju trakumu un putnu gripu, bet šoreiz ASV reakcija ir netipiski nopietna. Kā jau teicu, mums ir pāris gadi, ko vērot notikumu attīstību. Gan jau viss beigsies labi.

  1. Kāds viedoklis ir sazvērestību monitorētājiem:

    Ebola: what op is being planned for Western nations?

    By Jon Rappoport
    September 26, 2014
    http://www.nomorefakenews.com

    In this article, I’m not going to try to recapitulate everything I’ve written about Ebola so far.

    I’ll outline two possible scenarios for the near future in Western nations. Scenario 1 and Modified Scenario 1. Both would be planned ops.

    #1: Announcement: a vaccine is available. Authorities will declare who should take it. In an extreme situation, people in certain sectors will be commanded to take it. And if they don’t, they will be quarantined, regardless of their health status.

    Quarantines in selected areas would be enforced by police and troops stationed on streets, taking people to their homes, ordering them to stay in their homes. In those areas, businesses would be ordered to close.

    Flights in and out of selected areas would be shut down.

    The vaccine would be called safe, “according to limited tests,” and “less risky than Ebola.” People who fall ill or worse as a result of the vaccine would tend to be labeled as Ebola cases—“the onset of the disease was more rapid than anticipated.”

    “It’s the disease, not the vaccine.”

    As part of the overall scenario, Ebola case numbers will be grossly exaggerated. In fact, most cases will be casually diagnosed from visible and general flu-like symptoms—eyeball diagnoses made by doctors and nurses at clinics, hospitals, and offices.

    Blood samples taken to confirm these people’s diagnosis, at labs, will shockingly, to a large degree, show no presence of Ebola—but this fact will be covered up, as it was in the case of Swine Flu in 2009 and SARS in 2003.

    If no vaccine is released, then the pharmaceutical profit center will focus on medicines that “fight viruses.” These drugs will be toxic and have significant adverse effects. Again, patients who fall ill will be labeled “Ebola rapid-onset.”

    Here is Modified Scenario #1:

    It can be characterized by the after-op wrap-up: “We in the West escaped by the skin of our teeth. We almost had an uncontrollable nightmare on our hands. But thanks to public-health measures and the tracking of suspected cases, we averted doom…this time.” Heroes named and applauded.

    No widespread quarantines. No major troop presence.

    In that case, the main target of the op would turn out to be, as it is now, the West African countries. Borders sealed, chaos and massive quarantines inside, debilitation and death from a number of ongoing and long-term causes, none of which really have anything to do with Ebola:

    Severe malnutrition; starvation; war; poverty; industrial pollution; contaminated water supplies; stolen farm land; overcrowding; prior toxic vaccine campaigns for yellow fever, polio, meningitis; toxic medical drugs.

    All adding up to: destruction of immune systems, after which any germ passing through the territory accelerates dying. Ebola, cholera, flu, pneumocystis, measles, etc. Ebola itself is not the threat.

    And if all that is not enough—perhaps the intentional introduction of a virtually undetectable chemical(s) that debilitates and kills for a limited period of time and then dissipates. The victims, of course, will be labeled “Ebola.”

    Meanwhile, through brokered IMF “assistance” deals and other backroom agreements—with the West African population too weak to resist—outside financiers, investors, and corporations will expand their stranglehold over the rich mineral resources and land of those countries.

    My best guess at this time is we will see Modified Scenario #1, the “by the skin of our teeth we escaped” op. Western nations will not be said to be overrun with Ebola. There will not be massive and widespread quarantines in all nations.

    However, enough cases will be announced to scare people.

    “We had a brush with disaster. It was a close call. A few more ‘links in the chain’ and we would have had a firestorm on a global scale.”

    “Therefore, in the future, listen very closely to the medical experts. Do what they tell you to do immediately. Take your medicines. Get your vaccines, all of them, according to public-health mandated schedules.”

    “Those leaders who are running and monitoring health insurance programs around the world should insist that delivering medical care is contingent on recipients taking their vaccines and other drugs as ordered and prescribed.”

    Both Scenario #1 and its modified version are sheer reality-invention for the helpless, the mindless, the dupes, the pawns, the suckers, the rubes, and the merely uninformed.

    As always, there is a vital relationship between a) those who know the truth and make it known, and b) the merely uninformed.

    The number of people who wake up and realize what the op is, and refuse to participate—as they did successfully during the Swine Flu dud—can turn the tables and win.

    If there is an X-factor here, you may find it through predictions of Ebola case numbers by the CDC (and the World Health Organization). If they back off a bit and modulate their estimates in a downward direction, you’ll pretty much know that at worst, this will be a “skin of our teeth” op.

    If the CDC keeps doubling down with its “1 million Ebola cases” insanity, we could be in for a rocky ride. The CDC always lies. But if they keep these enormous predictive lies in play, it could be a clue the US government intends to fake a whole lot of Ebola.

    And that’s what I’m talking about. Fakery.

    Jon Rappoport
    The author of three explosive collections, THE MATRIX REVEALED, EXIT FROM THE MATRIX, and POWER OUTSIDE THE MATRIX, Jon was a candidate for a US Congressional seat in the 29th District of California. He maintains a consulting practice for private clients, the purpose of which is the expansion of personal creative power. Nominated for a Pulitzer Prize, he has worked as an investigative reporter for 30 years, writing articles on politics, medicine, and health for CBS Healthwatch, LA Weekly, Spin Magazine, Stern, and other newspapers and magazines in the US and Europe. Jon has delivered lectures and seminars on global politics, health, logic, and creative power to audiences around the world. You can sign up for his free emails at NoMoreFakeNews.com.

    • “intentional introduction of a virtually undetectable chemical(s) that debilitates and kills for a limited period of time and then dissipates”
      nu te viss ir skaidrs :), lai gan piekrītu, ka labāk būt “informed”.
      Tajā pat laikā jāpiekrīt UN ĢS Pak Gi Munam, ka cilvēce stāv uz iznīcības robežas un ir pēdējais laiks iemācīties kontrolēt faktorus, kas ietekmē klimata izmaiņas.Tas nozīmē daļēju aizstāšanu/atteikšanos no ogļūdenŗažiem enerģētikā, jo pieprasījums pēc tiem aug reizē ar cilvēces populācijas pieaugumu. Uz zemes jau ir 7 miljardi divkājaino un katrus 10-15 gadus klāt nāk vēl 1 miljards. Visi grib ēst un braukt ar mašīnu, skatīties tv utt. Kad Indijas ek.stāvoklis ļaus nabadzīgiem kājāmgājējiem pārsēsties uz auto, tas būs ekoloģiskais “vāks”. Ja negribas veikt pasaules pārkārtošanu atsakoties no naftas un gāzes dedzināšanas, tad varbūt var attālināt katastrofu samazinot “dedzinātāju”populāciju? Atgriezties pie nosacīti komfortabliem 5-6 miljardiem? Tas varētu būt viens variants, kas neizslēdz sazvērestību.
      Otrs variants – mate Daba nav dulla, Tā prot pati regulēt savu veselības stāvokli, kas par daudz tas par skādi. Un te mēs ar savām vakcīnām…

      • Īstenībā jau nav jautājums par sazvērestību, bet tikai par metodēm un līdzekļiem, kuras paredzēts izmantot. Par nepieciešamību samazināt iedzīvotāju skaitu šamējie jau ir vairākkārt atklati izteikušies. Savulaik pat mūsu “Diena” par to vēstīja:

        http://www.diena.lv/sabiedriba/arvalstis/miljardieri-mudina-ierobezot-pasaules-iedzivotaju-skaitu-669572

        Savukārt par to, ka klimata izmaīņu galvenais dzinējspēks ir antropogēnie faktori, zinātnisku pierādījumu nav. Ieteicamā literatūra latviešu valodā:

        Ojārs Āboltiņš no leduslaikmeta līdz globālajai sasilšanai

        http://ritvars.wordpress.com/2012/11/22/ojars-aboltins-no-leduslaikmeta-lidz-globalajai-sasilsanai/

        • Visu cieņu Āboltiņa kungam, bet es vairāk uzticos ANO ģenerālsekretām. Amata sugestija :). Bet arī tīri loģiski spriežot cilvēce nevar neatstāt negatīvu ietekmi uz vidi, jo pati jau sen neattīstas pēc Dabas likumiem.
          Vēl konspiroloģijas deva tiem, kas vēl nav iepazinušies ar Džordžijas vēstijuma akmeņiem. Padomājiet par šo tekstu:
          A message consisting of a set of ten guidelines or principles is engraved on the Georgia Guidestones in eight different languages, one language on each face of the four large upright stones. Moving clockwise around the structure from due north, these languages are: English, Spanish, Swahili, Hindi, Hebrew, Arabic, Chinese, and Russian.

          1.Maintain humanity under 500,000,000 in perpetual balance with nature.
          2.Guide reproduction wisely — improving fitness and diversity.
          3. Unite humanity with a living new language.
          4. Rule passion — faith — tradition — and all things with tempered reason.
          5. Protect people and nations with fair laws and just courts.
          6. Let all nations rule internally resolving external disputes in a world court.
          7. Avoid petty laws and useless officials.
          8. Balance personal rights with social duties.
          9. Prize truth — beauty — love — seeking harmony with the infinite.
          10.Be not a cancer on the earth — Leave room for nature — Leave room for nature.

          Пусть земное население никогда не превышает 500.000.000, пребывая в постоянном равновесии с природой.
          Разумно регулируйте рождаемость, повышая ценность жизненной подготовки и многообразия человечества.
          Найдём новый живой язык, способный объединить человечество.
          Проявляйте терпимость в вопросах чувств, веры, традиций и им подобных.
          Пусть справедливые законы и беспристрастный суд встанут на защиту народов и наций.
          Пусть каждая нация сама решает свои внутренние дела, вынося на мировой суд общенародные проблемы.
          Избегайте мелочных судебных тяжб и бесполезных чиновников.
          Поддерживайте равновесие между личными правами и общественными обязанностями.
          Превыше всего цените правду, красоту, любовь, стремясь к гармонии с бесконечностью.
          Не будьте раковой опухолью для земли, природе тоже оставьте место!

          • Tas, protams, pēc katra izvēles, bet, domaju, ka par militāri taktiskiem, zinatniskiem un medicīniskiem jautājumiem labāk ieklausīties nevis politiķos, bet neangažētos (klimata izmaiņas ir tēma, ko n-tie institūti gribētu pētīt līdz pastardienai, lai tik nauda nāktu – jāieklausās tajos, kas nepelna iztiku ar izmaiņu pētīšanu vai vismaz nesaņem finansējumu no avotiem, kuri tieši saistīti ar politiku) profesionāļos.

            • Piekrītu, bet līdz līmenim kad par kādu parādību sāk brīdināt ANO ĢS. Varbūt viņš ir angažēts, bet to pašu var teikt par zinātniekiem-sasilšanas noliedzējiem, jo esošā status quo saglabāšanā ir ieniteresēti naftas/gāzes pavēlnieki.

            • Āboltiņš, akurāt, nav sasilšanas noliedzējs. Viņš tikai nepiekrīt, ka pie tā primāri ir vainīgi fabrīķu skursteņi…

            • iemeslu, lai nokāptu no naftas/gāzes adatas pietiek arī bez sasilšanas. Stiprās valstis to arī dara. Sk. piemēram Vācijas biogāzes projektu mērogu un īpatsvara pieaugumu.

      • Vispār prognozē, ka līdz gadsimta vidum iedz. skaits nostabilizēsies apmēram 10 miljrd. apmēra, līdz gadsimta beigām tas augs tikai Āfrikā, citur nedaudz samazināsies.

        • Āfriku vajadzētu likt mierā (pārstāt maisīties dabīgajos procesos) un ziemeļos norobežot no Eiropas ar dzeloņdrāšu, automātisko ložmetēju un mīnu joslu. Tad tur ātri beigtos visi pieaugumi un vecajā Eiropā kļūtu vieglāk elpot. To pašu būtu jāizdara arī ar austrumu robežu.

  2. Cats, dogs, pets receive more scrutiny than people from disease-ravaged parts of the world

    “For months, doctors in my community — since we had a meeting six weeks ago — have been convinced that the United States will be importing clusters regularly,” he told local media during a staged protest at Atlanta’s international airport. “Right now, on the continent of West Africa, there are a million people in isolation, in quarantine, because of Ebola, and ten thousand passengers leave West Africa every single day. It’s just a matter of time before this disease is carried to every corner of the world.”

    Their comments come after CDC chief Tom Frieden said that idea was not practical and that it might “backfire” and could actually make it harder to control the spread of the virus (an argument which makes no sense at all).

    All that said, what is also true is that it is easier to get to the U.S. these days from an Ebola-stricken West African country than it is to bring a dog or a cat into the country. In particular, the CDC lays out these requirements:

    — Dogs imported to the U.S. must be “healthy” and “vaccinated against rabies.”

    “Dogs may be denied entry if they look like they are sick with a communicable disease or if proof of a valid rabies vaccination is not provided,” says the CDC website. “If a dog appears to be sick at the port of entry, further examination by a licensed veterinarian at the dog owner’s expense might be required.”

    Customs and Border Patrol (CBP) has additional hoops that you must jump through before any animals or pets can be brought into the country:

    Travelers frequently inquire about taking their pets with them to the United States. All such imports are subject to health, quarantine, agriculture, or wildlife requirements and prohibitions. Pets taken out of the United States and returned are subject to the same requirements as those entering for the first time.

    ‘Those people have rights’

    The CBP adds that the CDC requires that pets be examined at ports or airports of entry “for evidence of diseases that can be transmitted to humans.”

    But humans from Ebola-stricken parts of the world? No problem — come on in. “The only way we’re going to get to zero risk is by stopping the outbreak at the source,” CDC’s Frieden said on MSNBC, continuing:

    Even if we tried to close the border, it wouldn’t work. People have a right to return. People transiting through could come in. And it would backfire, because by isolating these countries, it’ll make it harder to help them, it will spread more there and we’d be more likely to be exposed here.

    “What kind of “rights” do Americans have to not become infected?” should have been the question asked of Frieden, but alas, the mainstream media is in agreement.

    Learn more: http://www.naturalnews.com/047161_Ebola_US_customs_traveling_pets.html#ixzz3FRa09CDf

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